Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (2024)

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Report Mar 13, 2024 Countering the Emerging Drone Threat to Correctional Security Drones are being used to deliver contraband—such as drugs, cell phones, and weapons—into correctional institutions. This report presents findings from a workshop to explore key needs that must be met to better address this drone threat.
Report Feb 15, 2024 Emerging Technology and Risk Analysis: Unmanned Aerial Systems Intelligent Swarm Technology Researchers provide an assessment of the risk to the U.S. homeland from intelligent swarm technology using unmanned aerial systems or drones. They consider technology availability, threat, vulnerability, and consequences over the next decade.
Commentary Jan 17, 2024 Getting 'Left-of-Launch' in the Counter-Drone Fight The democratization of drone technology means that adversaries are now able to conduct attacks with near impunity. The Houthis' recent drone attacks in the Red Sea show that America's current approach to countering them is not working. A holistic, offensive strategy is needed.
Commentary Nov 30, 2023 Creating the Uncrewed-Centric Navy of the Mid-21st Century The emergence of uncrewed technologies can enable the Navy to achieve greater capacity and operate in harm's way by avoiding over-concentration of combat power in too few assets.
Commentary Nov 7, 2023 Chinese Strategists Evaluate the Use of 'Kamikaze' Drones in the Russia-Ukraine War Chinese strategists are watching drone and loitering munition use closely in the Ukraine War, suggesting that they are likely already considering how to refine offensive tactics and improve defensive countermeasures. They are clearly thinking about this question in the context of a Taiwan scenario.
Brochure Sep 11, 2023 RAND Review: September-October 2023 Features explore the impact of four-day school weeks; the risk of people in the intelligence community experiencing trauma; and how insomnia affects societal health, well-being, and productivity.
Commentary Jul 25, 2023 UFOs Are Not the Only Potential Threat in American Skies How can the United States best monitor its millions of square miles of domestic airspace for unidentified anomalous phenomena—what were once called UFOs—or anything else? Public reporting could help officials identify potential threats—but it'd help if the sightings being reported were actually unknown aerial phenomena and not U.S. military aircraft.
Report Jul 25, 2023 Not the X-Files: Mapping Public Reports of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena Across America This report provides findings on U.S. locations where unidentified aerial phenomena are being reported to increase awareness about the types of activities that might be mistaken for unexplained phenomena or that point to potential threats.
Commentary Jul 10, 2023 Is the Warning Clock on Our National Defense Running Out? The United States has never invoked a ten-year rule regarding preparations for long-term military competition with China, as Great Britain did after World War I. But there have been times when the United States has behaved as if such a rule were in place.
Journal Article May 23, 2023 Aerial Minefields Can Put the 'Miss' in Missiles The growing missile threat is the greatest tactical challenge of the early 21st century. Adversaries ranging from near-peer competitors to rebel groups increasingly can wield highly accurate missiles that can strike ships, ground forces, and key installations.
Commentary May 4, 2023 What the Drone Strikes on the Kremlin Reveal About the War in Ukraine False flag, special op, or fizzled attack—it may not be possible to get to the bottom of who launched drones at the Kremlin and why any time soon. But the incident and reactions it has elicited from the war's major players reveal just how important weaponized, long-range drones have become in this conflict.
Commentary May 3, 2023 Coast Guard Leans Forward in New UxS Strategy but Faces Significant Challenges The rise of unmanned systems creates a challenging landscape for the U.S. Coast Guard as it endeavors to conduct its diverse missions in the future. To address emerging technologies and prepare for forthcoming threats, the service recently released a strategic plan.
Report Apr 26, 2023 Characterizing the Uncrewed Systems Industrial Base The Department of Defense has hypothesized that future demand for uncrewed systems (UxS) will strain the capacity of the defense industrial base (DIB). This report contains an analysis of UxS demand and recommendations on strengthening the DIB.
Report Mar 13, 2023 Russia's Asymmetric Response to 21st Century Strategic Competition: Robotization of the Armed Forces The authors explore Russian views on the military applications of robotics and artificial intelligence and how they differ from the United States' views on the matter. They assess whether Moscow has delivered -- or can deliver -- its robotization vision.
Report Feb 6, 2023 Characterizing the Performance of Uncrewed Aircraft Systems Analysts leveraged available data on performance of uncrewed aircraft system platforms to develop an approach to characterizing spray coverage as a function of payload, speed, endurance, and delivery and presenting performance parameters of interest.
Tool Dec 13, 2022 Mapping Chinese and Russian Military and Security Exports to Africa RAND researchers analyzed which African countries received military arms and private military and security contractors from China and Russia in 2018-2021. This visualization maps China's and Russia's influence across Africa.
Tool Dec 13, 2022 تحليل للصادرات العسكرية والأمنية الصينية والروسية إلى أفريقيا فحص باحثو مؤسسة RAND البلدان التي تتلقى صادرات الأسلحة الصينية والروسية واستخدام الشركات المتعاقدة العسكرية والأمنية الخاصة في أفريقيا خلال الفترة بين عامي 2018 و2021. يرسم هذا التصور نفوذ الصين وروسيا عبر إفريقيا.
Commentary Nov 10, 2022 'Wonder Weapons' Will Not Win Russia's War With its army increasingly in shambles, Russia has turned to attacking Ukraine's civilian infrastructure with Iranian-made drones in an effort to destroy Ukrainians' will to fight. These tactics will inflict pain on the Ukrainian population, but if history is any guide, they will not forestall a Russian defeat.
Tool Aug 19, 2022 China's Weapons Exports and Private Security Contractors RAND researchers provide a visualization of China's military and security influence around the world through the country's exports of weapons and private security contractors during 2018-2021.
Tool Aug 19, 2022 صادرات الصين من الأسلحة وشركات الأمن الخاصة يقدم باحثو مؤسسة RAND تصورًا عن النفوذ العسكري والأمني للصين حول العالم من خلال صادرات البلاد من الأسلحة وشركات الأمن الخاصة خلال الأعوام 2018-2021.
Report Jan 26, 2022 Supporting Combat Power Projection Away from Fixed Infrastructure The authors examine the logistics and sustainment aspects of an emerging operational concept for employing a family of unmanned aerial vehicles that can be launched, recovered, and sustained with minimal reliance on runways.
Commentary Aug 10, 2021 Opportunities for the Brazilian Navy to Employ Additional Unmanned Systems This Perspective is an exploration of some of the ways the Brazilian Navy could use unmanned systems to improve effectiveness and, potentially, reduce risks and costs while meeting a wide range of demands over vast and diverse geographic areas.
Report Jun 11, 2021 Assessing the Value of Intelligence Collected by U.S. Air Force Airborne Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance Platforms This report presents an approach to intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) assessments that seeks to articulate the costs and benefits of U.S. Air Force airborne ISR in specific operational contexts.